IDO Analysis By Anmol

Checked the latest probability on Pols and Paid. This is where we are

- Pols: 4900 total wallets with > 3000 POLS. The usual slots available are 340 with a 6.9% probability. This is for a usual ticket of 300$ which is a reducing figure

- Paid Ignition: 5600 total wallets with > 1000 tokens. Removing top 20 wallets, we’re looking at around 30,000 lottery tickets (as every 1000 Paid qualifies for 1 lottery ticket). Broadly chances are 3–8% here as well and return rates would be similar.

Platforms do have FCFS at times and that may improve chances but very very difficult to get on those and stressful as well. Bots kill the remaining show.

And then there are gas fees ⛽

Now, basis above here’s the return rate math:

If I participate in 15 IDOs at Pols, I’ll win 1 at the win rate mentioned. That means, 300$*10x return = 2700$ made in whatever time it takes to have 15 IDOs. The cost of 3000 Pols is above 20K$ and varies. Since its luck, sometimes it may be 0/15 and sometimes 2/15 but we’re looking at the usual probability

If I participate in 15 IDOs with BSCPad with an equivalent membership of Gold I’ll get guaranteed 50$ IDOs. Assuming similar average return rate of 10x we will get 15IDOs * 50$ * 10x = 7500$ return rate (this is guaranteed)

In BSCPad you can still try to win the leftover pools as well to top it up